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CITIC Securities: It is expected that the scale of personal pension will grow steadily. According to the CITIC Securities Research Report, on December 12, 2024, the Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security and other departments jointly issued the Notice on the Full Implementation of Personal Pension System, and the personal pension system will be promoted to the whole country on December 15, with emphasis on product supply and collection conditions optimized. In terms of individual pension funds, 85 index funds were added. At present, the total number of personal pension products is 941, and the performance of most products is relatively stable. The personal pension system shoulders the important mission of perfecting the multi-level and multi-pillar pension insurance system and doing a good job in pension finance. It is expected that with the continuous optimization of system design, continuous enrichment of product supply and continuous improvement of service level, the scale of personal pension is expected to grow steadily, which will also help to better play the wealth management function of the capital market and build a sound policy system of "long money and long investment".According to people familiar with the matter, Trump's advisers and officials from his newly formed government efficiency department asked him if he could abolish the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC).Korean media: South Korean President Yin Xiyue tried to appoint a new defense minister. The East Asia Daily did not explain that the source reported that South Korean President Yin Xiyue tried to appoint a new defense minister, which indicated that Yin Xiyue might resume his job, although he said last week that he would let the ruling party decide how to stabilize future state affairs and his term of office. After making a public speech on Thursday, Yin Xiyue approved the 42 agendas adopted at this week's cabinet meeting. This shows that Yin Xiyue may exercise the presidential power immediately after he hinted in his speech that he had no intention of stepping down.

Soochow securities: It is expected that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25bps in December. According to the soochow securities Research Report, the CPI of the United States rebounded to +2.75% in November as scheduled, and the CPI that did not exceed expectations cleared the last obstacle for the Fed to cut interest rates in December. In the short term, the combination of low base and high viscosity means that CPI is expected to continue to rebound to +2.8% in December. In the medium term, Trump is expected to drive out illegal immigrants on the first day after taking office, which will aggravate the risk of stagflation in the labor market. However, the intensification of wage inflation stickiness may be concealed by the downward movement of non-agricultural centers in the same period, the expectation of increasing oil prices and the high base in the first half of 2025. The market's concern about "stagnation" may provide room for the Fed to cut interest rates smoothly in the first half of 2025. However, in the second half of 2025, the cumulative interest rate cuts will give support to the economy, the persistence of inflation stickiness and the landing of Trump's tax reduction policy will force the Fed to cut interest rates. It is expected that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25bps in December, 25bps in March and June next year, and stop cutting interest rates in the second half of the year. The end point of the policy interest rate in 2025 is [3.75,4.0]%.Huatai Securities: The main industrial chain of lithium battery pays attention to the opportunity of profit bottoming, and the new technology focuses on solid-state batteries. Huatai Securities said that the domestic market policy side is superimposed on the enterprise side, and the carbon emission assessment in Europe is overweight in 2025. It is expected that the global new energy vehicle market will maintain steady growth in 2025. Coupled with the rapid growth of energy storage, it is estimated that the global battery demand will reach 1544/1937GWh in 2024/2025, which is +30%/+25% year-on-year. In the fourth quarter, the demand for power and energy storage is improving, and the prices of some links of lithium battery have shown signs of stabilization. We are optimistic about the links with tight supply and demand pattern and strong differentiation, and the performance of related enterprises is expected to rise in volume and price next year. In terms of new technologies, solid-state batteries continue to be tested and promoted, composite aluminum foil is expected to be mass-produced next year, lithium-sodium mixed technology is gradually landing, and fast charging permeability is expected to increase. It is recommended to pay attention to the progress of new technology industries.China Seismological Network automatically measured that an earthquake of magnitude 4.4 occurred near Yuli County, Bayinguoleng Prefecture, Xinjiang at 07: 22 on December 13th (40.93 degrees north latitude and 84.13 degrees east longitude), and the final result was subject to the official quick report.

Cathay Pacific: The number of the group has exceeded 30,000, and there will be more than 100 passenger destinations next year. On December 13, Cathay Pacific said that it had the largest recruitment in history in 2024, with about 7,000 new employees hired throughout the year, and the total number of employees in the group exceeded 30,000. With the total flight volume of Cathay Pacific and Hong Kong Express returning to the pre-epidemic level in January next year, Cathay Pacific announced that the two-year reconstruction trip will be completed soon, and there will be more than 100 passenger destinations next year. (Hong Kong Economic Times)The yield of China's 10-year government bonds fell below 1.80% at the beginning of the session, hitting a new record low.Full-page observation of People's Daily: Accelerate the construction of world-class universities and advantageous disciplines with China characteristics.